Type 2 & other diabetes

Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Change and Heart Failure Events With GLP ‐1 Receptor Agonists: A Meta‐Analysis and Meta‐Regression of Randomised Controlled Trials

Diabetes Obes MetabPublished Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised trials

Pooled result · Clinical HF eventsResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 0.86 95% CI 0.80–0.93

Authors' conclusion

Across large-scale GLP-1RA trials, greater annualised eGFR improvement was associated with larger reductions in clinical HF events.

Study context

Population
Randomised, placebo-controlled GLP-1 RA trials enrolling ≥ 1000 adults with T2D and/or overweight or obesity, follow-up ≥1 year
Participants
90,867 participants11 trials
Comparison
GLP-1 RA vs placebo
Outcome
Clinical HF events:
  • Hospitalisation for HF
  • With
  • Without urgent HF visits
Methodological detailsrandom-effects meta-analysis, mixed-effects meta-regression, placebo-controlled trials, PubMed and Embase searched from inception to 29 January 2026
  • Random-effects meta-analysis
  • Mixed-effects meta-regression
  • Placebo-controlled trials
  • PubMed and Embase searched from inception to 29 January 2026

Pooled result

Clinical HF events

Hazard ratio

0.86

95% CI 0.80–0.93

P < 0.001

GLP-1RAsvs Placebo
HR 0.86 (95% CI 0.80–0.93); P < 0.001

As reported in the abstract

Clinical heart failure (HF) events
2863

Further pooled results

Meta-regression: annualised estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) improvement and HF risk reduction

Annualised eGFR improvement significantly associated with greater HF risk reduction
P = 0.009
Each 1 mL/min/1.73 m²/year greater eGFR improvement: lower hazard of clinical HF events
21% (95% CI 7% to 32%)
  • Trial level

Meta-regression: body weight, systolic blood pressure (SBP) and heart rate

Changes in body weight, SBP and heart rate were not associated with HF risk reduction

Original publication

Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Change and Heart Failure Events With GLP ‐1 Receptor Agonists: A Meta‐Analysis and Meta‐Regression of Randomised Controlled Trials. Diabetes Obes Metab. Published 13 April 2026. doi:10.1111/dom.70749

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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