Endocrine oncology

Epidemiology of Neuroendocrine Neoplasms in the US

JAMA Netw OpenPublished Cross-sectional study

An erratum to this article was published (JAMA Netw Open, 3 Nov 2025 ↗)

Authors' conclusion

Incidence and prevalence of NENs continue to rise driven by increased diagnosis of early stage disease. Survival for NENs has also improved over time.

Study context

Population
Patients with neuroendocrine neoplasms in the US, Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program, 1975–2021; mean age 61.4 years, 52.4% female
Participants
145,447 NEN cases
Outcome
Annual age-adjusted incidence, limited duration prevalence and OS rates
Follow-up
1975–2021
Methodological detailspopulation-based registry (SEER), Analysis conducted between August 2023 and August 2024
  • Population-based registry (SEER)
  • Analysis conducted between August 2023 and August 2024

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Age-adjusted incidence rate of NENs · 1975 to 2021
Age-adjusted incidence, 1975
1.64 per 100 000 persons (95% CI 1.43-1.87)
Age-adjusted incidence, 2021
8.52 per 100 000 persons (95% CI 8.33-8.70)
Increase in incidence 1975 to 2021, except a dip in 2020 likely related to the COVID pandemic
5.2-fold
Estimated 20-year limited duration prevalence on January 1, 2021
243 896 cases
Median overall survival (OS), all neuroendocrine neoplasms (NENs)
11.8 years

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)
OS, all NENs, 2000-2006vs 2014-2021 periodOS improved over time1.42 (1.38–1.45)

Incidence increase by subgroup (1975 vs 2021), per 100 000 persons

Localized stage: 0.40 [95% CI 0.30-0.52] to 5.04 [95% CI 4.78-5.30]
13-fold
Well-differentiated: 0.04 [95% CI 0.02-0.09] to 2.30 [95% CI 2.13-2.48]
53-fold
Appendix primary: 0.11 [95% CI 0.09-0.22] to 1.68 [95% CI 1.39-1.78]
12-fold
Rectum primary: 0.11 [95% CI 0.06-0.18] to 1.32 [95% CI 1.19-1.46]
12-fold
  • Increase occurred across all sites, stages and grades

Incidence by site since 2000 (SEER 17), per 100 000 persons

Lung
1.49
Gastroenteropancreatic (GEP) NENs
6.1
Small bowel (within GEP)
1.4
Pancreas (within GEP)
1.3

OS, all NENs, 2000-2006 vs 2014-2021 period

Other factors associated with survival: age, stage, grade, primary site

OS, distant-stage well-differentiated neuroendocrine tumors (NETs)

Median OS
6.7 years
10-year OS, rectum primary (17 410 patients)
15.4%
10-year OS, small bowel primary (17 505 patients)
51.7%

Original publication

Epidemiology of Neuroendocrine Neoplasms in the US. JAMA Netw Open. Published 2 June 2025. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.15798

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