Type 2 & other diabetes

Discovery and validation of plasma, saliva and multi-fluid plasma–saliva metabolomic scores predicting insulin resistance and diabetes progression or regression among Puerto Rican adults

DiabetologiaPublished Prospective cohort study

An erratum to this article was published (Diabetologia, Sep 2024 ↗)

Authors' conclusion

The plasma metabolomic score predicting insulin resistance was more strongly associated with incident type 2 diabetes than the saliva metabolomic score. Only the saliva metabolomic score was associated with incident prediabetes.

Study context

Population
Puerto Rican adults from the San Juan Overweight Adults Longitudinal Studytraining set 509, testing set 340
Exposure
Plasma, saliva and multi-fluid plasma–saliva metabolomic scores predicting insulin resistance (per SD increase)
  • Plasman = 1,051
  • Salivan = 635
Outcome
Incident T2D
Follow-up
3 years
Methodological detailsmetabolomic score discovery (training set) and validation (testing set), elastic net regression, multivariable Cox proportional hazards models
  • Metabolomic score discovery (training set) and validation (testing set)
  • Elastic net regression
  • Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident T2D (n=54), HR per SD increase in score
GroupHR per SD95% CIp
Plasma1.991.18, 3.38p=0.01
Multi-fluid1.801.06, 3.07p=0.03

HR per SD

Plasma1.99
Multi-fluid1.80

95% CI

Plasma1.18, 3.38
Multi-fluid1.06, 3.07

p

Plasmap=0.01
Multi-fluidp=0.03

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomePlasmaSalivaMulti-fluid
Incident prediabetes (n=130), HR per SD increase in score · 3 years
HR per SD— not stated in the abstract1.48— not stated in the abstract
95% CI— not stated in the abstract1.17, 1.86— not stated in the abstract
p— not stated in the abstractp=0.001— not stated in the abstract
Regression from prediabetes to normoglycaemia (n=122), adjusted for adiposity · 3 years
HR0.720.780.72

— not stated in the abstract

Incident prediabetes (n=130), HR per SD increase in score · 3 years

Only the saliva score was associated with incident prediabetes

Regression from prediabetes to normoglycaemia (n=122), adjusted for adiposity · 3 years

All three scores significantly associated with lower likelihood of regression; attenuated when adjusting for lipid and glycaemic measures

Score composition

Highly weighted metabolites from fructose, tyrosine, lipid and amino acid metabolism

Original publication

Discovery and validation of plasma, saliva and multi-fluid plasma–saliva metabolomic scores predicting insulin resistance and diabetes progression or regression among Puerto Rican adults. Diabetologia. Published 21 May 2024. doi:10.1007/s00125-024-06169-6

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