Diabetes complications

Derivation and independent validation of kidneyintelX .dkd: A prognostic test for the assessment of diabetic kidney disease progression

Diabetes Obes MetabPublished Prognostic model derivation and validation study

Authors' conclusion

Using two independent cohorts and a clinical trial population, we validated an updated KidneyIntelX test (named kidneyintelX.dkd), which significantly enhanced risk stratification in patients with DKD for PDKF, independently from known risk factors for progression.

Study context

Population
Patients with diabetic kidney disease (DKD) stages 1 to 3; training in Penn Medicine Biobank (PMBB), validation in BioMe and CANVAS cohorts573 PMBB, 657 BioMe, 1197 CANVAS
Comparison
High- and moderate- vs low-risk kidneyintelX.dkd levels
Outcome
Progressive decline in kidney function (PDKF): ≥40% sustained decline in eGFR or end-stage kidney disease
Follow-up
Within 5 years
Methodological detailsrandom forest model, independent external validation cohorts
  • Random forest model
  • Independent external validation cohorts

Performance

As reported in the abstract

PDKF by risk level, adjusted for clinical risk factors

Low-risk

5.9% (BioMe); 6.7% (CANVAS)

Moderate-risk

21.2% (BioMe); 13.1% (CANVAS)

High-risk

66.9% (BioMe); 59.6% (CANVAS)

Each group vs low-riskAdjusted hazard ratio (95% CI)
High-riskBioMe
7.7(3.0–19.6)
Moderate-riskBioMe
3.7(2.0–6.8)
High-riskCANVAS
5.4(2.5–11.9)
Moderate-riskCANVAS
2.3(1.4–3.9)

Further findings

Progressive decline in kidney function (PDKF) incidence by cohort

PMBB (training), over median 3.7 years
15.4%
BioMe
11.7%
CANVAS
7.5%

Original publication

Derivation and independent validation of kidneyintelX .dkd: A prognostic test for the assessment of diabetic kidney disease progression. Diabetes Obes Metab. Published 18 September 2023. doi:10.1111/dom.15273

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