Type 2 & other diabetes

Daily low-dose aspirin and incident type 2 diabetes in community-dwelling healthy older adults: a post-hoc analysis of efficacy and safety in the ASPREE randomised placebo-controlled trial

Lancet Diabetes EndocrinolPublished Post-hoc analysis of the ASPREE randomised placebo-controlled trial

Primary result · Incident T2DResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 0.85 95% CI 0.75–0.97

Authors' conclusion

Aspirin treatment reduced the incidence of type 2 diabetes and slowed the increase in FPG concentration but increased major bleeding among community-dwelling older adults. Given the increasing prevalence of type 2 diabetes among older adults, the potential for anti-inflammatory agents such as aspirin to prevent type 2 diabetes or improve glucose levels warrants further study with a comprehensive assessment of all potential safety events of interest.

Study context

Population
Community-dwelling adults aged ≥70 years (≥65 years for US minority ethnic groups), USA and Australia, free of CVD, independence-limiting physical disability or dementia; without diabetes at baseline
Participants
16,209 adults
Comparison
Daily low-dose aspirin vs placebo
  • Aspirinn = 8,086
  • Placebon = 8,123reference
Primary endpoint
Incident T2D (self-reported diabetes, commencement of glucose-lowering medication, or fasting plasma glucose (FPG) ≥7.0 mmol/L at annual visits)
Follow-up
Median 4.7 years (IQR 3.6-5.7)
Methodological detailsdouble-blind, Enrolment between March 10, 2010, and Dec 24, 2014
  • Double-blind
  • Enrolment between March 10, 2010, and Dec 24, 2014

Primary result

Incident T2D · median follow-up 4.7 years

Hazard ratio

0.85

95% CI 0.75–0.97

P = 0.013

Events by treatment group

Aspirin

459

events

Placebo

536

events

Aspirinvs Placebo
HR 0.85 (95% CI 0.75–0.97); P = 0.013

As reported in the abstract

Further findings

OutcomeBetween-group difference estimate (mmol/L) (95% CI)P value
Rate of increase in FPG · year 5Slower increase with aspirin−0.048 (−0.079 to −0.018)P = 0.0017

Safety

OutcomeAspirinPlaceboHR (95% CI)P value
Major bleeding (major gastrointestinal, intracranial, clinically significant bleeding at other sites)44% increase in risk3.7%2.6%1.44 (1.21–1.72)P < 0.0001
  • Major bleeding (major gastrointestinal, intracranial, clinically significant bleeding at other sites): participants who took ≥1 dose of study medication (n=16 104)

Original publication

Daily low-dose aspirin and incident type 2 diabetes in community-dwelling healthy older adults: a post-hoc analysis of efficacy and safety in the ASPREE randomised placebo-controlled trial. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. Published 21 December 2023. doi:10.1016/s2213-8587(23)00327-3

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