Diabetes complications

Comparison of Semaglutide or Dulaglutide Versus Empagliflozin for Risk for Death and Cardiovascular Outcomes Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes : Two Target Trial Emulation Studies

Ann Intern MedPublished Target trial emulation study

Main finding · Composite of death, MI or stroke (semaglutide vs empagliflozin)Result — go to the resultHazard ratio 0.89 95% CI 0.78–1.02

Authors' conclusion

Semaglutide treatment seems to confer some advantage over empagliflozin. This advantage was not observed for dulaglutide.

Study context

Population
Patients aged ≥45 years with T2D treated 1 January 2019 to 31 December 2024; health care system of 703 academic and community clinical practices
Exposure
Semaglutide or dulaglutide vs empagliflozin
  • Semaglutiden = 7,899
  • Empagliflozinn = 7,899reference
Outcome
Composite of:
  • Death
  • MI
  • Stroke
Methodological detailsobservational, propensity score-matched
  • Observational
  • Propensity score-matched

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Composite of:
  • Death
  • MI
  • Stroke (semaglutide vs empagliflozin)
· median follow-up 2.2 years

Hazard ratio

0.89

95% CI 0.78–1.02

By group

Semaglutide

20.99 per 1000 person-years

Empagliflozin

23.56 per 1000 person-years

Semaglutidevs Empagliflozin
HR 0.89 (95% CI 0.78–1.02)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (CI)
Composite of death, MI or stroke: dulaglutidevs empagliflozin1.03 (0.90–1.16)
OutcomeSemaglutideEmpagliflozin
Composite of death, MI or stroke: cumulative rates · 2 years3.7%4.5%
Composite of death, MI or stroke: cumulative rates · 3 years5.9%6.9%

Individual outcomes: death, myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke (semaglutide comparison)

HR for death
0.97 (CI, 0.81 to 1.15)
HR for MI
0.85 (CI, 0.68 to 1.05)
HR for stroke
0.62 (CI, 0.43 to 0.89)

Composite of death, MI or stroke: dulaglutide vs empagliflozin

Risks similar for death, MI and stroke separately (dulaglutide vs empagliflozin)

Original publication

Comparison of Semaglutide or Dulaglutide Versus Empagliflozin for Risk for Death and Cardiovascular Outcomes Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes : Two Target Trial Emulation Studies. Ann Intern Med. Published 17 June 2025. doi:10.7326/annals-24-00775

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