Thyroid disease

Chronic Iodine Excess and Aging Synergistically Impact Thyrotropin Elevation: A Prospective 20-Year Follow-Up Study in China

ThyroidPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Elevated TSH levels induced by chronic iodine excess cannot be downregulated by reducing iodine intake. In nonautoimmune contexts, an interaction effect between iodine status and aging synergistically modulates the TSH rising degree. Iodine excess contributes to mild SCH and is correlated with high baseline TSH levels.

Study context

Population
Euthyroid participants from three communities in North China, cohort started 1999
Participants
1,176 participants
Exposure
Iodine-excess transition groups vs continuous iodine sufficiency
  • SI-SIn = 261reference
  • EI-DIn = 145
  • Excess to iodine sufficiency (EI-SI)n = 530
  • EI-EIn = 240
Outcome
TSH levels (independent and interactive effects of iodine-excess transition and aging)
Follow-up
20-year follow-up
Methodological details20-year follow-up, three communities in North China
  • 20-year follow-up
  • Three communities in North China

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Median TSH, thyroid antibody–negative participants · After 20 years

P < 0.05

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Mild SCH (TSH <10.0 mU/L) prevalence, antibody-negative · After 20 years — EI-DI, EI-SI, EI-EI vs SI-SI · increased prevalence in iodine-excess groups

P < 0.05

TSH rising degree, antibody-negative · 20 years — between EI-EI and SI-SI, EI-DI, EI-SI · lowest TSH rise with EI-EI

P < 0.05

Percent rise SI-SI 24.57% · EI-DI 24.56% · EI-SI 37.52% · EI-EI 14.18%

Mild subclinical hypothyroidism (SCH) (TSH <10.0 mU/L) prevalence, antibody-negative · After 20 years

Reduced central thyroid hormone sensitivity in iodine-excess groups vs SI-SI

Baseline TSH (1999-2004)

Baseline median TSH positively associated with initial urinary iodine concentrations (UIC)

Thyroid antibody–positive participants

No significant aging × iodine interaction; greater SCH prevalence, notably high severe SCH under persistent iodine excess

Original publication

Chronic Iodine Excess and Aging Synergistically Impact Thyrotropin Elevation: A Prospective 20-Year Follow-Up Study in China. Thyroid. Published 10 March 2026. doi:10.1177/10507256261427353

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