Lipids & metabolic liver disease

The cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, and glucose index and its derived indices predict cardiometabolic multimorbidity development and progression in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease individuals: a prospective cohort study

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Among individuals with MASLD, CHG-related indices, particularly CHG-WHtR and CHG-WC, were associated with incident CMM and transition-specific disease progression and improved risk prediction.

Study context

Population
UK Biobank participants with MASLD and without T2D, coronary heart disease (CHD) or stroke at baseline
Participants
109,434 participants
Exposure
Per 1-SD increment in CHG-related indices
Outcome
Incident CMM (at least two of T2D, CHD and stroke)
Follow-up
Median 16.4 years
Methodological detailsUK Biobank, multistate models, exploratory mediation analyses
  • UK Biobank
  • Multistate models
  • Exploratory mediation analyses

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident CMM
Hazard ratio (95% CI)
CHG-WHtR, per 1-SD increment
1.61(1.57–1.65)
CHG-WC, per 1-SD increment
1.59(1.55–1.63)

Per 1-SD increment, as printed

Participants who developed cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM)
4225

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Incremental risk prediction

Adding each index to conventional risk models improved discrimination and risk classification; CHG-waist-to-height ratio (CHG-WHtR) and CHG-waist circumference (CHG-WC) relatively favorable, absolute differences between indices modest

Multistate transitions

Associations strongest for disease-free to T2D and CHD-to-CMM transitions

Exploratory biomarker analyses

Biomarker domains of glycemic regulation, lipid metabolism, inflammation, hepatic and renal function statistically linked to the associations
  • Exploratory

Original publication

The cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, and glucose index and its derived indices predict cardiometabolic multimorbidity development and progression in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease individuals: a prospective cohort study. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 23 August 2026. doi:10.1186/s12933-026-03343-5

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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