Thyroid disease

Changes in serum TSH across the adult lifespan: 22-year follow-up of the HUNT Study

Eur J EndocrinolPublished Population-based cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Mean serum TSH increased with age in older men, but showed only modest or no age-related change in younger men and in women. The wider TSH distribution at older age supports the need for age-specific TSH reference ranges.

Study context

Population
Adults without thyroid medication or overt thyroid dysfunction, HUNT Study, Norway; TSH measured 1995–1997, 2006–2008 and 2017–2019127,483 TSH measurements
Participants
80,284 adults
Exposure
TSH change with age, men vs women
Outcome
Within-individual TSH change, expressed as geometric mean ratio (GMR; fold change in geometric mean TSH)
Follow-up
22 years
Methodological detailslongitudinal, linear mixed models, linkage to Norwegian Prescribed Drug Registry
  • Longitudinal
  • Linear mixed models
  • Linkage to Norwegian Prescribed Drug Registry

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Within-individual change in mean TSH
GroupValueGeometric mean ratios (GMR)
Menmean increase 0.13 mIU/L1.09 (95%CI 1.07, 1.10)
Women0.97 (95%CI 0.96, 0.98)

Value

Menmean increase 0.13 mIU/L
Women— not stated in the abstract

Geometric mean ratios (GMR)

Men1.09 (95%CI 1.07, 1.10)
Women0.97 (95%CI 0.96, 0.98)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeValues
Within-individual TSH change, men aged ≥70 years at baseline · 22 yearsMen aged ≥70 years mean increase 0.5 mIU/L · GMR 1.32 (95%CI 1.15, 1.48)

Mean TSH by age (cross-sectional and longitudinal measurements integrated)

Mean TSH higher at older age in men; association with age weaker and less consistent in women

TSH distribution by age

TSH distribution widened at older age in both sexes

Original publication

Changes in serum TSH across the adult lifespan: 22-year follow-up of the HUNT Study. Eur J Endocrinol. Published 11 June 2026. doi:10.1093/ejendo/lvag097

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