Lipids & metabolic liver disease

Associations of nine insulin resistance-related indices with the incidence and progression of cardiovascular-liver-metabolic multimorbidity: a large prospective cohort study

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Nine IR-related indices were positively associated with the incidence and progression of CLMM, with TyG-WHtR and TyG-WC showing comparatively stronger associations and better predictive performance. These findings support their relevance for comparative CLMM risk assessment, while further validation is warranted. Exploratory biomarker analyses provided hypothesis-generating clues regarding biological domains potentially relevant to the associations.

Study context

Population
UK Biobank participants from England, Scotland and Wales, recruited 2006–2010, free of cardiovascular-liver-metabolic (CLM) diseases at baseline8,651 developed CLM multimorbidity (CLMM)
Participants
371,207 participants
Exposure
Per-SD increase in nine insulin resistance (IR)-related indices
Outcome
Incidence and progression of CLM multimorbidity (CLMM; coexistence of ≥ 2 CLM conditions)
Follow-up
Median 16.4 years
Methodological detailsUK Biobank, Cox proportional hazards and multistate models
  • UK Biobank
  • Cox proportional hazards and multistate models

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident CLMM, per SD increase

TyG-WHtR, HR per SD

2.08

95% CI 2.04–2.12

TyG-WC, HR per SD

2.14

95% CI 2.10–2.19

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Multistate: healthy to first CLM disease, per SD increase

TyG-WHtR, HR
1.59 (95% CI 1.58-1.60)
TyG-WC, HR
1.62 (95% CI 1.61-1.63)

Multistate: progression to CLMM, per SD increase

TyG-WHtR, HR
1.44 (95% CI 1.41-1.46)
TyG-WC, HR
1.44 (95% CI 1.41-1.47)

Multistate: progression to triple CLM diseases, per SD increase

TyG-WHtR, HR
1.24 (95% CI 1.15-1.34)
TyG-WC, HR
1.22 (95% CI 1.13-1.31)

Predictive performance

All indices significantly improved incremental value and discrimination; TyG-WHtR and TyG-WC performed comparatively better (all P < 0.001)

Mediation by biomarkers

Systemic inflammation and liver- and kidney-related biomarkers might statistically contribute to the associations
  • Exploratory, hypothesis-generating

Original publication

Associations of nine insulin resistance-related indices with the incidence and progression of cardiovascular-liver-metabolic multimorbidity: a large prospective cohort study. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 6 May 2026. doi:10.1186/s12933-026-03201-4

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