Lipids & metabolic liver disease

Association of the C-reactive protein–triglyceride glucose index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among U.S. adults with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: a national cohort study

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Elevated CTI values are significantly associated with increased ACM and CVM among MASLD patients.

Study context

Population
US adults with MASLD in NHANES (1999–2010, 2015–2018)
Participants
5,029 adults
Exposure
Highest vs lowest CTI quartile
Outcome
All-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality
Follow-up
Median 122 months
Methodological detailsnational cohort, NHANES 1999-2010, 2015-2018, multivariate Cox proportional hazards models, restricted cubic spline analyses
  • National cohort
  • NHANES 1999-2010, 2015-2018
  • Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models
  • Restricted cubic spline analyses

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Highest CTI quartile vs Lowest CTI quartileHazard ratio (95% CI)P value
All-cause mortality
1.86(1.50–2.31)
P < 0.001
Cardiovascular mortality
2.07(1.44–2.97)
P < 0.001
All-cause deaths
1,072
Cardiovascular deaths
352

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Dose-response (restricted cubic spline)

Significant nonlinear relationship; mortality risk rising sharply above CTI value
8.8

Subgroups

Significant interactions with age and fibrosis-4 index; stronger associations in participants <60 years and with lower fibrosis-4 scores

Mediation of CTI–all-cause mortality link (exploratory)

Neutrophils, mediation proportion
16%
HbA1c, mediation proportion
33%

Discrimination

Adding CTI to a conventional risk model gave the greatest improvement in discrimination for all-cause and CV mortality vs CRP or TyG index alone

Sensitivity analyses

Sensitivity analyses supported the robustness of the results

Original publication

Association of the C-reactive protein–triglyceride glucose index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among U.S. adults with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: a national cohort study. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 1 April 2026. doi:10.1186/s12933-026-03163-7

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