Type 1 diabetes

Association between primary graft function and 5-year outcomes of islet allogeneic transplantation in type 1 diabetes: a retrospective, multicentre, observational cohort study in 1210 patients from the Collaborative Islet Transplant Registry

Lancet Diabetes EndocrinolPublished Retrospective cohort study

Main finding · Unsuccessful islet transplantationResult — go to the resultAdjusted subdistribution hazard ratio 0.77 95% CI 0.72–0.82

Authors' conclusion

This global multicentre study reports a linear and independent association between PGF and 5-year clinical outcomes of islet transplantation. The main study limitations are its retrospective design and the absence of analysis of complications.

Study context

Population
Patients with T1D in the Collaborative Islet Transplant Registry receiving ITA or IAK (Jan 1999–July 2020) with calculable primary graft function (PGF), 39 centres; mean age 47 years, 59.5% female
Participants
1,210 patients39 centres
Exposure
PGF per 5-unit increase
  • ITAn = 986
  • IAKn = 211
Outcome
Cumulative incidence of unsuccessful islet transplantation (HbA1c ≥7.0%, severe hypoglycaemia, or fasting C-peptide <0.2 ng/mL)
Follow-up
5 years
Methodological detailsmulticentre, observational, registry-based, competing risk analysis
  • Multicentre
  • Observational
  • Registry-based
  • Competing risk analysis

Main finding

Unsuccessful islet transplantation

Adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio

0.77

95% CI 0.72–0.82

P < 0.0001

PGF per 5-unit increase of BETA-2 score
adjusted sHR 0.77 (95% CI 0.72–0.82); P < 0.0001

Per 5-unit increase of BETA-2 score, as printed

As reported in the abstract

5-year cumulative incidence of unsuccessful islet transplantation (all patients)
70.7% (95% CI 67.2-73.9)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Secondary outcomes

Graft exhaustion, inadequate glucose control, exogenous insulin therapy · 5 years

Secondary endpoints similarly related to PGF

Predictive performance of PGF (model-adjusted median C-statistic) · 5 years

Unsuccessful islet transplantation
0.70 (range 0.69-0.71)
Graft exhaustion
0.76 (0.74-0.77)
Inadequate glucose control
0.65 (0.64-0.66)
Exogenous insulin therapy
0.72 (0.71-0.73)

Original publication

Association between primary graft function and 5-year outcomes of islet allogeneic transplantation in type 1 diabetes: a retrospective, multicentre, observational cohort study in 1210 patients from the Collaborative Islet Transplant Registry. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. Published 24 April 2023. doi:10.1016/s2213-8587(23)00082-7

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