Vitamin D supplementation to prevent acute respiratory infections: systematic review and meta-analysis of stratified aggregate data

Lancet Diabetes EndocrinolPublished Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised trials

An erratum to this article was published (Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol, Jul 2025 ↗)

Pooled result · Overall ARI riskResult — go to the resultOdds ratio 0.94 95% CI 0.88–1.00

Authors' conclusion

This updated meta-analysis yielded a similar point estimate for the overall effect of vitamin D supplementation on ARI risk to that obtained previously, but the 95% CI for this effect estimate now includes 1.00, indicating no statistically significant protection.

Study context

Population
Participants in double-blind randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of vitamin D for ARI prevention with ARI incidence collected prospectively and pre-specified as efficacy outcome
Participants
61,589 participants40 studies
Comparison
Any vitamin D vs placebo
Outcome
Overall ARI risk, any vitamin D vs placebo
Methodological detailsupdated, random effects model, stratified aggregate data, double-blind RCTs, pre-specified subgroup analysis, Searches May 1, 2020 to April 30, 2024; aggregate data stratified by baseline 25(OH)D and age obtained from study authors
  • Updated
  • Random effects model
  • Stratified aggregate data
  • Double-blind RCTs
  • Pre-specified subgroup analysis
  • Searches May 1, 2020 to April 30, 2024; aggregate data stratified by baseline 25(OH)D and age obtained from study authors

Pooled result

Overall ARI risk

Odds ratio

0.94

95% CI 0.88–1.00

P = 0.057

Vitamin Dvs Placebo
OR 0.94 (95% CI 0.88–1.00); P = 0.057

As reported in the abstract

Further pooled results

Effect modification by age, baseline vitamin D status, dosing frequency, or dose size

Pre-specified subgroup analysis did not reveal evidence of effect modification

Publication bias (funnel plot)

Funnel plot left-sided asymmetry, Egger's test
P = 0.0020

Safety

OutcomeOR (95% CI)
≥1 serious adverse event38 studies; I2=0.0%0.96 (0.90–1.04)

Original publication

Vitamin D supplementation to prevent acute respiratory infections: systematic review and meta-analysis of stratified aggregate data. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. Published 21 February 2025. doi:10.1016/s2213-8587(24)00348-6

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