Secular trend of humeral fractures incidence rates in patients ≥ 50 years requiring hospitalization: a retrospective analysis of the public health system data in Brazil from 2004 to 2013
Authors' conclusion
Hospitalizations for humeral fractures in Brazil increased significantly from 2004 to 2013, particularly among elderly women and those living in the most densely populated Southeast region.
Study context
- Population
- Brazilian adults ≥ 50 years admitted to public hospitals 2004–2013 for primary treatment of low-trauma humerus fractures (ICD-10 S-42.2, S-42.3, S-42.4)
- Participants
- 34,071 humeral fractures
- Exposure
- Overall vs Women vs Men
- Outcome
- Annual rate of humeral fractures requiring hospitalization, and its secular trend
- Follow-up
- 2004–2013
Methodological detailsobservational, national public health system database, linear regression secular trend analysis
- Observational
- National public health system database
- Linear regression secular trend analysis
Main finding
As reported in the abstract
Average annual humeral fracture rate
- Secular trend: significant increase in crude humeral fracture rate among women (P = 0.024)
- 21.18%
Observational data: associations, not effects.
Further findings
Distribution of fractures
- Women
- 59.21%
- Age group 50-59 years
- 33.14%
- Southeast region residents
- 60%
Secular trend, Southeast region, women
- Significant increase (P = 0.031); Southeast had highest fracture rates
- 11.95%
Original publication
Secular trend of humeral fractures incidence rates in patients ≥ 50 years requiring hospitalization: a retrospective analysis of the public health system data in Brazil from 2004 to 2013. Osteoporos Int. Published 22 May 2025. doi:10.
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