Thyroid disease

Real-World Performance of the Afirma Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC)—A Meta-analysis

J Clin Endocrinol MetabPublished Systematic review and meta-analysis of real-world postvalidation studies

Authors' conclusion

RW data for the Afirma GSC demonstrates significantly better oSP and oPPV performance than the VS, indicating an increased yield of cancers for resected GSC suspicious nodules. The higher BCR likely increases the overall rate of clinical observation in lieu of surgery.

Study context

Population
Indeterminate thyroid nodule cytology tested with Afirma GSC; NIFTP considered malignant13 real-world (RW) studies
Comparison
Real-world Afirma GSC performance vs 2018 validation study
Outcome
GSC performance (sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV) in RW studies vs VS

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

GSC diagnostic performance
GroupSensitivityObserved specificityConservative specificitySpecificityObserved PPVConservative PPVPPVNPV
RW97%88%80%— not stated in the abstract65%49%— not stated in the abstract99%
Validation study (VS)91%— not stated in the abstract— not stated in the abstract68%— not stated in the abstract— not stated in the abstract47%96%

Sensitivity

RW97%
Validation study (VS)91%

Observed specificity

RW88%
Validation study (VS)— not stated in the abstract

Conservative specificity

RW80%
Validation study (VS)— not stated in the abstract

Specificity

RW— not stated in the abstract
Validation study (VS)68%

Observed PPV

RW65%
Validation study (VS)— not stated in the abstract

Conservative PPV

RW49%
Validation study (VS)— not stated in the abstract

PPV

RW— not stated in the abstract
Validation study (VS)47%

NPV

RW99%
Validation study (VS)96%

— not stated in the abstract

Further pooled results

OutcomeRWP value
Benign call rateRW vs VS · higher in RW67%P < 0.05
  • Benign call rate: VS 54%

Original publication

Real-World Performance of the Afirma Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC)—A Meta-analysis. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. Published 6 December 2022. doi:10.1210/clinem/dgac688

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