Type 2 & other diabetes

Phenotype-based targeted treatment of SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists in type 2 diabetes

DiabetologiaPublished Development and validation study of a treatment selection algorithm

Authors' conclusion

Precision medicine approaches can facilitate effective individualised treatment choice between SGLT2i and GLP1-RA therapies, and the use of routinely collected clinical features for treatment selection could support low-cost deployment in many countries.

Study context

Population
People with T2D in primary care in England (Clinical Practice Research Datalink); external validation in Scotland (SCI-Diabetes [Tayside & Fife])external validation 2252
Participants
46,394 people
Comparison
SGLT2i vs GLP-1 RA
Outcome
Individual-level conditional average treatment effects for HbA1c between SGLT2i and GLP1-RA
Follow-up
12-month
Methodological detailsBayesian causal forest, hold-out validation, external validation
  • Bayesian causal forest
  • Hold-out validation
  • External validation

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Predicted HbA1c benefit >3 mmol/mol (>0.3%), development cohort

Predicted benefit with SGLT2i over GLP1-RA

4787

17.5%

Predicted benefit with GLP1-RA over SGLT2i

5551

20.3%

Secondary outcomes

OutcomeGreater HbA1c response (mmol/mol) (95% CrI)
Sex as treatment effect modifier for GLP1-RA response (HARMONY-7 liraglutide)Women vs Men · 0.4% [95% CrI 0.2, 0.6]; greater with women · CrI4.4 (2.2–6.3)

Tolerability and microvascular complications

Targeting therapy by predicted glycaemic response associated with improved short-term tolerability and long-term risk of new-onset microvascular complications

Original publication

Phenotype-based targeted treatment of SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists in type 2 diabetes. Diabetologia. Published 22 February 2024. doi:10.1007/s00125-024-06099-3

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