Endocrine oncology

Nomogram to predict the prognostic value of tumor deposits for patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma

Eur Thyroid JPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

The presence of TD was significantly associated with poor prognosis in PTC patients. TD showed promising efficacy as a potential prognostic indicator for PTC patients.

Study context

Population
Patients with PTC undergoing surgery between 2015 and 2021
Participants
541 patients
Exposure
TD vs non-TD
Outcome
DFS
Methodological detailsnomogram development
  • Nomogram development

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

DFS (recurrence risk), multivariate Cox regression

TD an independent prognostic factor for disease-free survival (DFS); increased risk of recurrence

2.501-fold

P < 0.001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Prevalence of TD

TD identified in patients
16.1%

Aggressive features with TD

TD had higher rate of aggressive features (microscopic and gross extrathyroidal extension, recurrent laryngeal nerve and esophagus invasion, prevertebral fascia involvement or carotid artery/internal jugular vein encasement, extranodal extension, advanced clinical stage, tumor recurrence, distant metastasis)
all P < 0.05

Nomogram performance for DFS

Good discrimination and calibration, C-index
0.79

Original publication

Nomogram to predict the prognostic value of tumor deposits for patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma. Eur Thyroid J. Published 16 April 2025. doi:10.1530/etj-24-0343

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