Diabetes complications

Hemoglobin A1c (A1c) time-in-range, mortality, and diabetes complications in older adults with diabetes

BMJ Open Diabetes Res CarePublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

A1c stability within patient-specific target ranges is associated with a lower risk of major adverse outcomes among older adults with diabetes.

Study context

Population
Patients with diabetes aged ≥65 years, Veterans Affairs (VA) and Kaiser Permanente (KP), 2004–2018, ≥4 A1c tests during a 3-year baseline; mean age 74.3 years (SD 5.8) VA and 72.3 years (SD 5.7) KP
Exposure
Lower vs higher individualized HbA1c time-in-range
Outcome
Mortality, cardiovascular and microvascular outcomes
Methodological detailsobservational, instrumental variable models, two health systems (VA and KP)
  • Observational
  • Instrumental variable models
  • Two health systems (VA and KP)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Mortality (VA patients)
Lower A1c TIR vs Higher A1c TIRHazard ratio (95% CI)
VA patients
1.22(1.20–1.23)
KP patients
1.36(1.27–1.45)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)
CV outcomesVA patients1.10 (1.07–1.13)

CV outcomes

KP: Instrumental variable (IV) models showed associations with increased mortality and CV outcomes

HbA1c time below and above range

In both VA and KP, greater A1c time below and time above range were associated with increased mortality

Original publication

Hemoglobin A1c time-in-range, mortality, and diabetes complications in older adults with diabetes. BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care. Published 4 November 2025. doi:10.1136/bmjdrc-2025-005188

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