DXA-measured truncal adiposity in adolescence but not in childhood longitudinally predicts worsening cardiac outcomes

Eur J EndocrinolPublished Prospective birth cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Increased total and trunk fat mass from adolescence but not from childhood predicted progressive cardiac structural and functional pathologies by young adulthood.

Study context

Population
Children aged 9 years from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) UK birth cohort with repeated DXA-measured fat mass at ages 9, 11, 15, 17 and 24 years; echocardiography at 17 and 24 years
Participants
1,803 children
Outcome
LV mass indexed for height2.7 (LVM) by echocardiography
Follow-up
17 and 24 years
Methodological detailslongitudinal, ALSPAC
  • Longitudinal
  • ALSPAC

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Change in LVM over 7 years

Total fat mass increase, age 9-24 years: β (g/m2.7), 95% CI, P

−0.48

−0.50--0.48P < .001

Trunk fat mass increase, age 9-24 years: β (g/m2.7), CI, P

−0.78

−0.83 to −0.74P < .001

Total fat mass increase, age 17-24 years: β (g/m2.7), 95% CI, P

0.12

0.09–0.15P < .001

Trunk fat mass increase, age 17-24 years: β (g/m2.7), CI, P

0.23

0.18–0.28P < .001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Lean mass and BMI increase (age 9-24 years) and LVM

Lean mass: β (g/m2.7), 95% CI, P
0.31 [0.29-0.33], P < .001
BMI: β (g/m2.7), CI, P
0.24 [0.20-0.27], P < .001

Mediation of fat mass–cardiac mass association, adolescence to young adulthood

Mediated by increased systolic BP
10.6%
Mediated by high-sensitivity C-reactive protein
7.4%
  • Partial mediation

Original publication

DXA-measured truncal adiposity in adolescence but not in childhood longitudinally predicts worsening cardiac outcomes. Eur J Endocrinol. Published 14 April 2026. doi:10.1093/ejendo/lvag044

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