Type 2 & other diabetes

Daily low dose aspirin halves incident type 2 diabetes in elderly subjects with prediabetes: a five-year longitudinal cohort study in a real-word population

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Retrospective cohort study

Main finding · Incident T2DResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 0.53 95% CI 0.44–0.64

Authors' conclusion

Daily treatment with 100 mg aspirin was associated with approximately a 50% reduction in the incidence of new-onset T2DM, but also with an increased risk of gastrointestinal bleeding, in elderly individuals with prediabetes.

Study context

Population
Elderly individuals with prediabetes in Naples, Italy, followed by primary care physicians, 2018–2022
Exposure
Daily low-dose aspirin vs no aspirin
Outcome
Onset of T2D: new diagnosis with antidiabetic prescriptions lasting >30 days
Methodological detailslongitudinal, propensity score matching, real-world primary care database
  • Longitudinal
  • Propensity score matching
  • Real-world primary care database

Main finding

Incident T2D · follow-up period

Hazard ratio

0.53

95% CI 0.44–0.64

P < 0.001

Events by group

Aspirin

22.3 per 1000 person-years

174 events

Non-aspirin

40.2 per 1000 person-years

314 events

Aspirinvs Non-aspirin
HR 0.53 (95% CI 0.44–0.64); P < 0.001

As reported in the abstract

New T2D cases overall
488 (15.6% of the total population)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeP value
Cumulative incidence of T2D (Kaplan-Meier)Lower with Aspirinlog-rank test p < 0.0001

Safety

Gastrointestinal bleeding · increased risk with Aspirin

P < 0.05

Original publication

Daily low dose aspirin halves incident type 2 diabetes in elderly subjects with prediabetes: a five-year longitudinal cohort study in a real-word population. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 18 June 2025. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-02802-9

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