Type 2 & other diabetes

Bedtime Prediction of Nocturnal Hypoglycemia in Insulin-Treated Type 2 Diabetes Patients

J Diabetes Sci TechnolPublished Prediction model development study

Authors' conclusion

The model was able to predict nocturnal hypoglycemia with an acceptable accuracy and could therefore prevent such cases.

Study context

Population
Insulin-treated patients with T2D with continuous glucose monitoring (CGM), mealtime and insulin data30 in prediction model
Participants
67 patients
Outcome
Prediction of nocturnal hypoglycemia (15 consecutive minutes below 3.0 mmol/L (54 mg/dL) during the following night)
Methodological detailsfive-fold cross-validation, logistic regression, forward feature selection
  • Five-fold cross-validation
  • Logistic regression
  • Forward feature selection

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of nocturnal hypoglycemia

Mean AUC

0.82

Accuracy

0.79

Periods resulting in nocturnal hypoglycemia

60 of 496

Original publication

Bedtime Prediction of Nocturnal Hypoglycemia in Insulin-Treated Type 2 Diabetes Patients. J Diabetes Sci Technol. Published 13 December 2022. doi:10.1177/19322968221141736

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