Thyroid disease

Associations between radioactive iodine treatment for hyperthyroidism and cancer incidence and mortality

J Clin Endocrinol MetabPublished Retrospective cohort study

Main finding · Overall cancer incidenceResult — go to the resultMv HR 1.02 95% CI 0.76–1.47

Authors' conclusion

RAI treatment was associated with increased breast cancer incidence but not overall cancer incidence or mortality. Findings for pancreatic cancer mortality were suggestive. These results support the importance of long-term safety monitoring among RAI-treated patients.

Study context

Population
Adults aged ≥18 years newly diagnosed with hyperthyroidism 2006–2019, without prior cancer, University of Michigan de-identified EHR dataset
Participants
6,435 adults52,909 person-years
Exposure
Radioactive iodine (RAI) vs other therapies
Outcome
Overall and site-specific cancer incidence and mortality
Follow-up
Mean 8.2 years (range 0.5-17 years)
Methodological detailssingle-institution EHR dataset, time-dependent Cox models
  • Single-institution EHR dataset
  • Time-dependent Cox models

Main finding

Overall cancer incidence

Mv HR

1.02

95% CI 0.76–1.47

P = 0.734

RAIvs Other therapies
mv HR 1.02 (95% CI 0.76–1.47); P = 0.734

As reported in the abstract

Incident cancers
487

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeEstimateP value
Cancer mortalitymv HR 0.81 (95% CI 0.45–1.44)P = 0.471
Breast cancer risk, womenmv HR 2.24 (95% CI 1.21–4.17)P = 0.011
Breast cancer risk, postmenopausal womenmv HR 2.65 (95% CI 1.24–5.66)P = 0.011
Pancreatic cancer mortality, ≥2 years of follow-upSensitivity analysisage-adj HR 4.05 (95% CI 1.01–16.20)P = 0.042
Cancer mortality — Cancer deaths
157

Original publication

Associations between radioactive iodine treatment for hyperthyroidism and cancer incidence and mortality. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. Published 17 February 2026. doi:10.1210/clinem/dgag058

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