Lipids & metabolic liver disease

Association between the atherogenic index of plasma and major adverse cardiovascular events in individuals with metabolic syndrome: findings from the UK biobank

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Prospective cohort study

Main finding · MACEResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 1.07 95% CI 1.05,1.08

Authors' conclusion

This observational study showed that higher AIP was associated with increased risks of MACE and its component endpoints, highlighting its potential as a biomarker for risk stratification among individuals with MetS.

Study context

Population
UK Biobank participants with metabolic syndrome free of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) at baseline
Participants
131,736 participants
Exposure
Per SD increase in atherogenic index of plasma (AIP)
Outcome
MACE: first occurrence of acute MI, CV death, unstable angina, stroke or HF
Follow-up
Median 13.4 years
Methodological detailsmultivariable Cox proportional hazards models, restricted cubic splines, prespecified subgroup and sensitivity analyses
  • Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models
  • Restricted cubic splines
  • Prespecified subgroup and sensitivity analyses

Main finding

MACE · median 13.4 years follow-up

Hazard ratio

1.07

95% CI 1.05,1.08

AIP
HR 1.07 (95% CI 1.05,1.08)

Per SD increase in AIP, as printed

As reported in the abstract

Participants with metabolic syndrome (MetS) who experienced MACE
19,140 (14.5%)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)
Components of MACE (per SD increase in AIP, fully adjusted)AIP · AMI1.16 (1.12,1.19)
Components of MACE (per SD increase in AIP, fully adjusted)AIP · UA1.16 (1.13,1.19)
Components of MACE (per SD increase in AIP, fully adjusted)AIP · stroke; no clear evidence of association1.03 (1.00,1.06)
Components of MACE (per SD increase in AIP, fully adjusted)AIP · CV death; no clear evidence of association1.01 (0.97,1.05)
Components of MACE (per SD increase in AIP, fully adjusted)AIP · HF; no clear evidence of association1.01 (0.98,1.03)

Kaplan-Meier incidence across AIP groups

Significant differences for MACE, acute myocardial infarction (AMI), unstable angina (UA), CV death and heart failure (HF) (all log-rank P < 0.05)
No significant difference for stroke (log-rank P > 0.05)

Nonlinearity (restricted cubic splines (RCS))

U-shaped associations for MACE, AMI, HF and CV death; J-shaped for UA (all P for nonlinearity < 0.05)
Linear association with stroke (P for nonlinearity > 0.05)

Incremental predictive value

AIP improved reclassification (net reclassification index (NRI)/integrated discrimination improvement (IDI)) and discrimination (C-index)

Original publication

Association between the atherogenic index of plasma and major adverse cardiovascular events in individuals with metabolic syndrome: findings from the UK biobank. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 21 November 2025. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-03010-1

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