Type 2 & other diabetes

Adaptation of risk prediction equations for cardiovascular outcomes among patients with type 2 diabetes in real-world settings: a cross-institutional study using common data model approach

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Cross-institutional external validation and recalibration study of risk prediction models

Authors' conclusion

We provide valid risk prediction equations for MI, stroke, and HF outcomes in Taiwanese type 2 diabetes populations. A framework for adapting risk equations across institutions is also proposed.

Study context

Population
Patients with T2D in real-world settings, electronic health records (EHRs) of two medical centers in Taiwan (National Cheng Kung University Hospital (NCKUH), National Taiwan University Hospital (NTUH))NCKUH 11,740
Comparison
UKPDS-OM2, RECODe and CHIME risk equations for myocardial infarction (MI), stroke and heart failure (HF)
Outcome
External validation of risk equations for MI, stroke and HF: discrimination (AUROC) and calibration (calibration slopes and intercepts, GND test)
Methodological detailselectronic health records, common data model approach, two medical centers
  • Electronic health records
  • Common data model approach
  • Two medical centers

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Test or modelValueAUROC
CHIME0.71-0.790.71-0.79

CHIME

Value0.71-0.79
AUROC0.71-0.79

Further findings

Calibration slopes/intercepts after recalibration, NCKUH

CHIME-MI
0.9848/- 0.0008
CHIME-stroke
1.1003/- 0.0046
CHIME-HF
0.9436/0.0063

Calibration slopes/intercepts after recalibration, NTUH

CHIME-MI
1.1060/- 0.0011
CHIME-stroke
0.8714/0.0030
CHIME-HF
1.0476/- 0.0016

Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino (GND) test after recalibration

All recalibrated risk equations showed satisfactory calibration
p-values of GND tests ≥ 0.05

Original publication

Adaptation of risk prediction equations for cardiovascular outcomes among patients with type 2 diabetes in real-world settings: a cross-institutional study using common data model approach. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 10 July 2024. doi:10.1186/s12933-024-02320-0

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